Oscar Watch: Predictions and Opinions

Best Picture Nominees:  American Hustle, 12 Years a Slave, Gravity,  and  Her

Best Picture Nominees: American Hustle, 12 Years a Slave, Gravity, and Her

UPDATE March 3, 2014: The Academy Awards were last night, and 10/10 predictions came true!

With the the Academy Awards less than week away (next Sunday, hosted by Ellen DeGenerous) I thought I'd give a rundown of my predictions for the big night, and which films I think deserve (and don't deserve) the recognition.

Best Picture

Will Win: 12 Years a Slave, the year's most widely respected film
Might Win: Gravity, the most gripping and entertaining film of the year
Should Win: Her, the most beautiful and timely film of the year
Should Not Win: American Hustle, slightly overindulgant acting without a compelling plot

Best Director

Will/Should Win: Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
Might Win: Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave

Best Actor

Will Win: Mathew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Might Win: Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Should Win: Leonardo DiCaprio, Wolf of Wall Street

Best Actress

Will/Should Win: Cate Blanchet, Blue Jasmine

Best Supporting Actor

Will/Should Win: Jered Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
Might Win: Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips

Best Supporting Actress

Will/Should Win: Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
Might Win: Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle

Best Original Screenplay

Will/Should Win: Her
Could Win: Nebraska
Should Not Win: American Hustle

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will Win: 12 Years a Slave
Might Win: Before Midnight

Best Documentary Feature

Will Win: 20 Feet From Stardom
Should Win: The Act of Killing

Best Animated Feature

Will/Should Win: Frozen